Posts

Showing posts from June, 2022

Labour's Hopes of Winning the Next General Election.

According to YouGov , in its most recent opinion poll (conducted 15-16th June 2022, and published on the 17th), if there was a General Election tomorrow - which, of course, there won't be - 39% of voters would vote Labour, 33% Conservative, 10% Liberal Democrat, 6% for the Green Party of England and Wales, 4% for the SNP, 4% for Reform UK, 1% for Plaid Cymru and 2% for other Parties, a total of 99%, presumably leaving 1% who didn't know or who wouldn't say. As Andrew Rawnsley points out in today's (19th June 2022) Observer newspaper, Labour enjoyed a similar lead over the Conservatives in 2013, only to lose the subsequent General Election in 2015. The next General Election is, likewise, probably two years away. Again, as Rawnsley argues, ' A charismatic leader with the capacity to generate excitement can win from the centre-left with a cautious programme, as Tony Blair demonstrated in 1997. A dramatic manifesto of social and economic change fronted by a self-effac